2026-27 TEAM RANKINGS
WEEK OF THIS WEEK
Ranked on projected wins, updated every morning.
| # | TEAM | ON PACE | MARKET | SEED | PLAYOFFS | TITLE | TOP PLAYERS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAS SPURS West · Mitch Johnson | 59.760-22 | 59.7±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 59.7 | 59.5+0.2 | #1 | >99% | 21% | WembanyamaCastleFox |
| 2 | OKC THUNDER West · Mark Daigneault | 60.160-22 | 59.7±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 59.7 | 60.5-0.4 | #2 | 99% | 20% | Gilgeous-AlexanderHolmgrenWilliams |
| 3 | BOS CELTICS East · Joe Mazzulla | 53.153-29 | 55.3▲2.2 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 55.3 | 51.5+1.6 | #1 | 96% | 11% | TatumWhitePritchard |
| 4 | DET PISTONS East · J.B. Bickerstaff | 53.053-29 | 53.7▲0.7 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 53.7 | 50.5+2.5 | #2 | 94% | 9% | CunninghamDurenThompson |
| 5 | NYK KNICKS East · Mike Brown | 53.153-29 | 53.0±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 53.0 | 52.5+0.6 | #3 | 93% | 8% | BrunsonTownsAnunoby |
| 6 | HOU ROCKETS West · Ime Udoka | 53.654-28 | 52.5▼1.1 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 52.5 | 47.5+6.1 | #3 | 95% | 6% | DurantSengunThompson |
| 7 | CLE CAVALIERS East · Kenny Atkinson | 51.351-31 | 52.2▲0.9 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 52.2 | 47.5+3.8 | #4 | 92% | 6% | MitchellHardenMobley |
| 8 | DEN NUGGETS West · David Adelman | 49.850-32 | 51.7▲1.9 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 51.7 | 49.5+0.3 | #4 | 93% | 5% | JokicMurrayDeRozan |
| 9 | MIN TIMBERWOLVES West · Chris Finch | 47.648-34 | 48.1±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 48.1 | 49.5-1.9 | #5 | 87% | 3% | EdwardsBallMcDaniels |
| 10 | LAL LAKERS West · JJ Redick | 46.146-36 | 47.0▲0.9 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 47.0 | 45.5+0.6 | #6 | 83% | 2% | DoncicReavesKessler |
| 11 | ORL MAGIC East · Sean Sweeney | 45.145-37 | 46.8▲1.7 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 46.8 | 43.5+1.6 | #5 | 78% | 2% | BancheroBaneWagner |
| 12 | PHI 76ERS East · Nick Nurse | 44.444-38 | 46.8▲2.4 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 46.8 | 50.5-6.1 | #6 | 77% | 2% | MaxeyBrownEmbiid |
| 13 | CHO HORNETS East · Charles Lee | 41.842-40 | 43.7▲1.9 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 43.7 | 37.5+4.3 | #7 | 63% | 1% | KnueppelMillerAllen |
| 14 | ATL HAWKS East · Quin Snyder | 38.038-44 | 42.5▲4.5 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 42.5 | 43.5-5.5 | #8 | 58% | 1% | JohnsonAlexander-WalkerOkongwu |
| 15 | TOR RAPTORS East · Darko Rajakovic | 47.347-35 | 41.5▼5.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 41.5 | 45.5+1.8 | #9 | 54% | <1% | LeonardBarnesQuickley |
| 16 | GSW WARRIORS West · Steve Kerr | 39.540-42 | 40.8▲1.3 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 40.8 | 40.5-1.0 | #7 | 57% | <1% | CurryPodziemskiPorzingis |
| 17 | MIA HEAT East · Erik Spoelstra | 36.737-45 | 39.5▲2.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 39.5 | 46.5-9.8 | #10 | 43% | <1% | AntetokounmpoAdebayoWiggins |
| 18 | POR TRAIL BLAZERS West · Micah Nori | 40.741-41 | 39.1▼1.6 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 39.1 | 43.5-2.8 | #8 | 49% | <1% | LillardMorantAvdija |
| 19 | LAC CLIPPERS West · Tyronn Lue | 32.533-49 | 38.6▲6.1 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 38.6 | 28.5+4.0 | #9 | 45% | <1% | GarlandBealWagler |
| 20 | IND PACERS East · Rick Carlisle | 37.638-44 | 36.8▼0.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 36.8 | 44.5-6.9 | #11 | 30% | <1% | HaliburtonSiakamNembhard |
| 21 | PHO SUNS West · Jordan Ott | 32.933-49 | 35.9▲3.0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 35.9 | 38.5-5.6 | #10 | 33% | <1% | BookerBridgesBrooks |
| 22 | DAL MAVERICKS West · Dusty May | 32.232-50 | 34.5▲2.3 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 34.5 | 34.5-2.3 | #11 | 26% | <1% | IrvingFlaggWashington |
| 23 | MIL BUCKS East · Taylor Jenkins | 38.539-43 | 33.5▼5.0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 33.5 | 26.5+12.0 | #12 | 17% | <1% | Jr.RollinsHerro |
| 24 | MEM GRIZZLIES West · Tuomas Iisalo | 34.935-47 | 29.5▼5.4 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 29.5 | 28.5+6.4 | #12 | 11% | <1% | Jr.EdeyCoward |
| 25 | UTA JAZZ West · Will Hardy | 27.828-54 | 28.6▲0.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 28.6 | 35.5-7.7 | #13 | 9% | <1% | MarkkanenGeorgeJr. |
| 26 | NOP PELICANS West · Jamahl Mosley | 28.128-54 | 28.6±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 28.6 | 29.5-1.4 | #14 | 8% | <1% | IIIMathurinMurray |
| 27 | SAC KINGS West · Doug Christie | 28.028-54 | 26.3▼1.7 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 26.3 | 21.5+6.5 | #15 | 5% | <1% | SabonisMurrayLaVine |
| 28 | WAS WIZARDS East · Brian Keefe | 37.638-44 | 25.8▼11.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 25.8 | 35.5+2.1 | #13 | 3% | <1% | YoungDavisSarr |
| 29 | CHI BULLS East · Tiago Splitter | 23.323-59 | 23.0±0 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 23.0 | 27.5-4.2 | #14 | 1% | <1% | GiddeyBuzelisPowell |
| 30 | BRK NETS East · Jordi Fernandez | 19.119-63 | 19.9▲0.8 | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 19.9 | 22.5-3.4 | #15 | <1% | <1% | Jr.RandleClowney |
WAF PRESEASON = our projection frozen on opening night (what the season is graded against). PROJ NOW = today's projection with current rosters and injuries (▲▼ = change since the preseason). RECORD = the real 2026-27 record; ON PACE shows after 5 games. MARKET = preseason sportsbook win total (the small number is WAF preseason minus market). Odds from 5,000 simulated seasons: each team's true strength is drawn around its projected wins (±7.5 wins, the real error of a good preseason projection), then the real play-in and playoff bracket are played out. 26-27 is the real record so far; TEAM WA is the Wins Added this roster has piled up in real games; WA/82 is that pace over a full season, blended with the projection early on. MARKET is the real preseason sportsbook over/under; NET/OFF/DEF are projected per-100-possession ratings. Click a team for its full page.
55-27
PROJ RECORD
3rd
WINS RANK
51.5
MARKET O/U
+3.8
VS MARKET
55.3
ROSTER WA
69.7
CORE VALUE
$199M
PAYROLL
96.1
PACE
111.6 (4th)
DEF RTG
112.3
PROJ DEF
HOW WE GET TO 55 WINS
League-average team
Every team starts at .500 and moves by how it compares
41.0Roster value vs. league average
Rank-weighted projected WA 69.7 (top 3 ×1.3, next 5 ×1, bench ×0.4) · talent counts ×0.85
Star power vs. league average
Credit for top-2 players in the 5-9 WA star range
Synergy vs. league average
Top 8: role mix + two-way players − ball-dominant overlap · fit counts ×1.5
VALUE MODEL54.6
Efficiency model (Pythagorean: proj. offense 118.1 vs. defense 112.8)53.7
Blended54.3
Analyst adjustment: +2.0 winsPROJECTED WINS (tails eased toward 10-70)55.3
Real preseason sportsbook over/under: 51.5 (BetMGM / Yahoo Sports, Oct 2026).